The Accuracy of Splines Overtime - 3D Time-Series Approach Part III: Mastering The Math Matters
In the prior post it was proven that, as a stochastic variable, a stock quote is impossible to be predicted using regression. It is based on
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Alejandro Romero
27 Şub 20235 dakikada okunur
Hidden Outcomes Revealed: Europe Confirms Profitability of LATAM, All¹ ETFs in Europe, 31/10/2023
According to LP, none of the expected returns from the ETFs in Europe is significantly different from the others, it means that the differen
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Alejandro Romero
3 Şub 20235 dakikada okunur
Hidden Outcomes Revealed: LATAM Countries Skip Bear Market and Keep Profitable, 31/10/2022
All but Bootsim methodology showed that the SR has shifted upwards in contrast to what had happened in USA and Europe where the market...
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Alejandro Romero
30 Oca 20231 dakikada okunur
All ETFs¹ in Europe: Above Zero Probabilities and Maximum Likelihood Returns 01/08/2022
Maximum likelihood return, probability return above zero, price difference distribution for all ETF in Europe.
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Alejandro Romero
27 Oca 20235 dakikada okunur
Hidden Outcomes Revealed: Bear Market Confirmed Also in Europe, All¹ ETFs in Europe, 01/08/2022
LP and Bootlp recommend XSMC.SW in big proportion, this is the ETF that fully replicates the Solactive Swiss Large Cap index from Switzerlan
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Alejandro Romero
14 Oca 20235 dakikada okunur
Hidden Outcomes Revealed: To Invest Across Sectors is not Enough, All¹ ETFs in Europe, 20/12/2021
According to LP, none of the expected returns from the ETFs in Europe is significantly different from the others, it means that the differen
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Alejandro Romero
22 Ara 20221 dakikada okunur
TOP95 ETFs in USA: Above Zero Probabilities and Maximum Likelihood Returns 31/10/2022
Probability of positive return, maximum likelihood return, markov chain projections, accumulative and single probability univariate splines
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Alejandro Romero
15 Ara 20225 dakikada okunur
Hidden Outcomes Revealed: Efficiency Shifts to Niche Markets, TOP95¹ ETFs in USA, 31/10/2022
The bear market brings niche or more specific markets as options to diversification and efficiency. There is an ongoing shift from broad sec
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Alejandro Romero
11 Ara 20221 dakikada okunur
TOP10 ETFs in USA: Above Zero Probabilities and Maximum Likelihood Returns 31/10/2022
Find out what are the odds of earning/loosing money for the coming weeks on the TOP10 traded ETFs in USA.
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Alejandro Romero
6 Ara 20221 dakikada okunur
Markov General Model (MGM) Decimals v3.3 to Calculate Advance Statistics for Multiple Securities
v3.3 features:
Row Index for historical values kept as dates instead of being changed to week count.
Tested on Python 3.11.
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Alejandro Romero
27 Kas 20224 dakikada okunur
Hidden Outcomes Revealed: The Marke Turns Bear. Adv. Stats for the Top10 ETFs in USA, 31/10/2022
According to LP, the hypothesis sustaining that at least one of the expected returns from the Top10 traded ETFs in USA is significant...
3 görüntüleme0 yorum
Alejandro Romero
9 Kas 20221 dakikada okunur
Pattern Search to Decimals New version Output_v2.1.ipynb - Google Colab
New version 2.1 on Google Colab released. More concise and processing-time saving.
2 görüntüleme0 yorum
Alejandro Romero
8 Kas 20221 dakikada okunur
LATAM ETFs Traded in USA: Above Zero Probabilities and Maximum Likelihood Returns 01/08/2022
LATAM ETFs traded in USA offer zero diversification options. A groundbraking methodology helps investors and speculators to decide which one
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Alejandro Romero
8 Kas 20221 dakikada okunur
TOP95 ETFs in USA: Above Zero Probabilities and Maximum Likelihood Returns 01/08/2022
Top 95 traded ETFs in USA. Probabilities of positive return, return with maximum likelihood, splines, interactive graphs with projections, a
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Alejandro Romero
26 Eki 20221 dakikada okunur
TOP10 ETFs in USA: Above Zero Probabilities and Maximum Likelihood Returns 01/08/2022
Top10 ETFs USA comprehensive report with expected returns, their probabilties, return with maximum likelihood, probability of positive...
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Alejandro Romero
25 Eyl 20223 dakikada okunur
Free Reading: Advance Statistics for the LATAM ETFs, 01/08/2022
Four methodologies used are: Linear programming (LP), Simulation (Sim), Bootstrapping plus LP (Bootlp), and Bootstrapping plus sim (Bootsim)
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Alejandro Romero
8 Eyl 20224 dakikada okunur
Hidden Outcomes Revealed: Advance Statistics for the 95¹ Most Traded ETFs in USA, 01/08/2022
According to LP, at least one of the expected returns from the Top95 traded ETFs in USA is significant different from the others...
5 görüntüleme0 yorum
Alejandro Romero
31 Ağu 20223 dakikada okunur
Hidden Outcomes Revealed: Advance Statistics for the 10 Most Traded ETFs in USA, 01/08/2022
As stock quotes are stochastic processes, hidden behaviors will only be revealed as approaches are compared to each other.
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Alejandro Romero
10 Ağu 20221 dakikada okunur
ML Perspective Predicts with Over 80%¹ Accuracy 1.800 Weekly Quotes between 21/12/2021-25/04/2022
Breakthroughs:
Not a regression problem anymore but categorical.
Not focus on quotes but on quote changes (delta price).
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Alejandro Romero
19 Tem 20222 dakikada okunur
The Accuracy of Splines Overtime - 3D Time-Series Approach - Top10 Traded ETFs USA 25/04/2022
Time-series can be usefull as long as they are applied correctly and that's why the focus of ML Perspective was to renew it with the...
10 görüntüleme0 yorum
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